Brea vs Montecarlo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.4%
Win probability
2.64
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.8%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.7%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.2%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
14.5%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.5%
9%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
CDB
0 - 3
CFB
43%
23%
34%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
CEL
3 - 0
CFB
47%
23%
30%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
CFB
2 - 1
CFV
47%
23%
30%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
CFI
3 - 3
CFB
63%
19%
18%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
CFB
3 - 1
CAL
59%
21%
20%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Montecarlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
UDM
3 - 1
CEL
14%
19%
67%
|
12 | 22 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
CFV
1 - 0
UDM
80%
13%
7%
|
12 | 21 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
UDM
0 - 1
CFI
13%
20%
67%
|
12 | 24 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
CAL
1 - 1
UDM
72%
17%
12%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
UDM
0 - 2
FUE
20%
22%
58%
|
12 | 18 | 6 | -1 |