Brasiliense vs Náutico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.5%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.3%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.4%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
39.4%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brasiliense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2002 |
BRA
1 - 0
VAS
7%
17%
77%
|
61 | 87 | 26 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2002 |
VAS
2 - 1
BRA
95%
4%
1%
|
61 | 87 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2002 |
NAU
4 - 3
REM
51%
24%
26%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2002 |
REM
2 - 2
NAU
53%
23%
24%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2001 |
NAU
3 - 2
ARN
50%
25%
25%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2001 |
TUN
1 - 1
NAU
48%
25%
27%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2001 |
ANA
4 - 1
NAU
51%
24%
25%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | -1 |