Brasil U23 vs Sudáfrica U23 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.4%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.5%
2-0
13%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.4%
10.2%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brasil U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2016 |
BRA
3 - 1
RSA
72%
17%
11%
|
70 | 56 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
BRA
5 - 1
USA
58%
21%
21%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2015 |
BRA
2 - 1
USA
55%
22%
23%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
BRA
1 - 2
MEX
42%
24%
34%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 2012 |
BRA
3 - 0
KOR
48%
24%
28%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | +2 |
Matches
Sudáfrica U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jun. 2016 |
JPN
4 - 1
RSA
66%
19%
15%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2016 |
BRA
3 - 1
RSA
72%
17%
11%
|
56 | 70 | 14 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2000 |
SVK
2 - 1
RSA
46%
24%
30%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | -2 |
| 17 Sep. 2000 |
BRA
1 - 3
RSA
75%
16%
9%
|
56 | 71 | 15 | +2 |
| 14 Sep. 2000 |
RSA
1 - 2
JPN
37%
25%
38%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | -1 |