Brasil U23 vs Paraguay U23 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.9%
Win probability
2.52
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.5%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.5%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.3%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
7%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.8%
8.2%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brasil U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2024 |
VEN
3 - 1
BRA
10%
19%
72%
|
80 | 52 | 28 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2024 |
BRA
2 - 1
ECU
79%
14%
7%
|
79 | 59 | 20 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
BRA
2 - 0
COL
74%
16%
10%
|
79 | 61 | 18 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2024 |
BOL
0 - 1
BRA
12%
19%
69%
|
79 | 54 | 25 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2023 |
MAR
1 - 0
BRA
13%
19%
68%
|
80 | 55 | 25 | -1 |
Matches
Paraguay U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
CHI
2 - 1
PAR
37%
25%
38%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
PAR
1 - 0
PER
54%
23%
24%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2024 |
PAR
4 - 3
URU
39%
24%
36%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2024 |
ARG
1 - 1
PAR
65%
20%
15%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
URU
4 - 1
PAR
37%
23%
40%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | -2 |