Brasil U23 vs Iraq U23 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.9%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
23%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
22%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brasil U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2016 |
BRA
0 - 0
RSA
72%
17%
10%
|
71 | 54 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2016 |
BRA
3 - 1
RSA
72%
17%
11%
|
70 | 56 | 14 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
BRA
5 - 1
USA
58%
21%
21%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2015 |
BRA
2 - 1
USA
55%
22%
23%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
BRA
1 - 2
MEX
42%
24%
34%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Iraq U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2016 |
IRQ
0 - 0
DEN
48%
25%
27%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2014 |
THA
0 - 1
IRQ
24%
23%
54%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2014 |
IRQ
0 - 1
PRK
77%
16%
8%
|
65 | 43 | 22 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
KSA
0 - 3
IRQ
38%
24%
39%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | +2 |
| 26 Sep. 2014 |
IRQ
4 - 2
TJK
80%
14%
6%
|
63 | 30 | 33 | 0 |