Brasil Farroupilha vs União RS analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.1%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
23.5%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brasil Farroupilha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2012 |
SAO
5 - 2
BRA
35%
25%
39%
|
46 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2012 |
BRA
0 - 2
BRA
53%
25%
22%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
BRA
1 - 1
RIO
55%
23%
22%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2012 |
ESP
3 - 1
BRA
42%
25%
32%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2012 |
BRA
2 - 0
PAS
52%
24%
24%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
União RS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2012 |
URS
2 - 1
RIO
51%
24%
26%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2012 |
PAS
1 - 1
URS
53%
23%
24%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
URS
2 - 0
BRA
22%
23%
55%
|
38 | 52 | 14 | +2 |
| 05 May. 2012 |
PAS
2 - 0
URS
54%
23%
24%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2012 |
URS
1 - 1
JAC
55%
21%
24%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | 0 |