Bras Fusil vs Marsouins analysis


33	ELO	31
-3.4%	Tilt	1.6%
28600º	General ELO ranking	12098º
17º	Country ELO ranking	12º
ELO win probability

48.6%

Bras Fusil

23.2%

Draw

28.2%

Marsouins

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of handicap

48.6%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.5%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%

23.2%

Draw

0-0

4.5%

1-1

10.6%

2-2

6.2%

3-3

1.6%

4-4

0.2%

5-5

<0%

0

23.2%

28.2%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.2%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Bras Fusil

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.
13 Jun. 2014	PAU 4 - 1 BRA 47% 23% 29%	32	32
24 May. 2014	BRA 0 - 0 BEN 52% 23% 26%	32	32
17 May. 2014	PET 1 - 2 BRA 45% 24% 31%	32	32
11 May. 2014	BRA 0 - 0 MAR 56% 22% 22%	32	32
04 May. 2014	EXC 1 - 0 BRA 43% 25% 33%	32	32

Matches

Marsouins

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
14 Aug. 2014	MAR 0 - 2 MAR 51% 24% 25%	32	32	0	0
14 Jun. 2014	MAR 2 - 0 CAP 43% 24% 33%	31	32	1	+1
28 May. 2014	PIE 3 - 0 MAR 47% 25% 28%	32	32	0	-1
17 May. 2014	MAR 1 - 0 SAI 50% 24% 27%	32	32	0	0
10 May. 2014	PAU 2 - 0 MAR 50% 23% 27%	32	32	0	0