Brann II vs Vard analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.4%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.7%
25.8%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
-8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
1º
11º
8º
15
7º
14º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
31 | 55 |
1º
|
73.5% | |
|
2º
|
30 | 51 |
2º
|
58% | |
|
3º
|
24 | 42 |
3º
|
30.5% | |
|
6º
|
19 | 40 |
4º
|
21% | |
|
4º
|
20 | 38 |
5º
|
21% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 37 |
6º
|
18% | |
|
5º
|
20 | 35 |
7º
|
20% | |
|
|
8º
|
16 | 33 |
8º
|
12.5% | |
|
9º
|
15 | 30 |
9º
|
16.5% | |
|
11º
|
14 | 29 |
10º
|
12.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
15 | 29 |
11º
|
15% | |
|
12º
|
14 | 26 |
12º
|
17% | |
|
13º
|
13 | 25 |
13º
|
26% | |
|
14º
|
11 | 23 |
14º
|
32.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
83.5% | 68.5% |
|
Relegation
|
16.5% | 31.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brann II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 2025 |
BRA
2 - 4
JER
32%
23%
45%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2025 |
SAN
1 - 2
BRA
45%
23%
32%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2025 |
BRA
0 - 2
POR
48%
23%
29%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2025 |
JER
2 - 1
BRA
56%
21%
23%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 Jun. 2025 |
BRA
0 - 2
SSK
36%
25%
40%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Vard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul. 2025 |
BRA
2 - 0
VAR
67%
18%
15%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2025 |
VAR
4 - 4
LYS
32%
24%
45%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Jun. 2025 |
FFC
2 - 2
VAR
43%
25%
32%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2025 |
VAR
2 - 4
FKA
36%
25%
40%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Jun. 2025 |
SAN
1 - 1
VAR
52%
22%
26%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |