Brann II vs Jerv analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.9%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.2%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.4%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
44.7%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13.5%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
1º
11º
8º
21
3º
8º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
28 | 52 |
1º
|
70% | |
|
2º
|
27 | 51 |
2º
|
52.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
21 | 42 |
3º
|
31% | |
|
5º
|
19 | 40 |
4º
|
23.5% | |
|
6º
|
17 | 35 |
5º
|
16% | |
|
4º
|
20 | 35 |
6º
|
14% | |
|
7º
|
16 | 34 |
7º
|
13.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
16 | 34 |
8º
|
9% | |
|
11º
|
14 | 32 |
9º
|
16% | |
|
9º
|
15 | 30 |
10º
|
16% | |
|
10º
|
15 | 29 |
11º
|
15% | |
|
12º
|
14 | 29 |
12º
|
14% | |
|
13º
|
13 | 25 |
13º
|
20% | |
|
14º
|
11 | 24 |
14º
|
32.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 3% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
1% | 12.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
82.5% | 84% |
|
Relegation
|
16.5% | 0.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brann II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jul. 2025 |
SAN
1 - 2
BRA
45%
23%
32%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2025 |
BRA
0 - 2
POR
48%
23%
29%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2025 |
JER
2 - 1
BRA
56%
21%
23%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 Jun. 2025 |
BRA
0 - 2
SSK
36%
25%
40%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2025 |
NOT
3 - 0
BRA
38%
24%
38%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
Jerv
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jul. 2025 |
JER
2 - 0
TRA
61%
21%
18%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2025 |
LYS
3 - 0
JER
29%
24%
47%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Jun. 2025 |
JER
2 - 1
BRA
56%
21%
23%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2025 |
JER
4 - 1
ETO
45%
24%
31%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | +2 |
| 08 Jun. 2025 |
SSK
2 - 1
JER
46%
24%
30%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | -1 |