Brann II vs FK Arendal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.4%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
30.1%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
+16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
4º
13º
6º
33
2º
11º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
58 | 58 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
48 | 48 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
45 | 45 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 41 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
38 | 38 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
31 | 31 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
24 | 24 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
17 | 17 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brann II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2024 |
BRA
1 - 2
BRA
60%
20%
20%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2024 |
BRA
2 - 0
FFC
64%
19%
17%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
BRA
2 - 1
JER
30%
23%
47%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | +1 |
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
SSK
4 - 4
BRA
56%
22%
22%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | +1 |
| 08 Jul. 2024 |
BRA
0 - 3
KVI
70%
17%
14%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
FK Arendal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
FKA
1 - 6
HOD
27%
26%
47%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
KVI
0 - 3
FKA
20%
21%
58%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
FKA
1 - 3
LYS
42%
24%
34%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
NOT
0 - 1
FKA
34%
25%
42%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
ORN
1 - 1
FKA
25%
22%
53%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |