Brandão vs Sporting Braga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
7%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.8%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.2%
1-0
3.1%
2-1
1.9%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
5.5%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15.6%
77.4%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
15.5%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
23%
0-3
11.9%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
16.1%
0-4
6.9%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
8.8%
0-5
3.2%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.9%
0-6
1.2%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Braga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2003 |
SPB
2 - 1
EST
69%
20%
12%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2003 |
SPB
0 - 0
BOA
34%
27%
39%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2003 |
PAÇ
0 - 1
SPB
42%
27%
31%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2003 |
SPB
1 - 1
RIO
62%
22%
16%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2003 |
ALV
1 - 2
SPB
46%
26%
29%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |