Brandão vs Argoncilhe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.3%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
5%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.9%
3-0
8%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.2%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.8%
12.9%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brandão
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
MOS
3 - 0
BRA
8%
15%
78%
|
27 | 8 | 19 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
BRA
2 - 0
MOS
57%
21%
22%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
RME
0 - 2
BRA
9%
16%
75%
|
26 | 10 | 16 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
BRA
5 - 0
ROM
87%
9%
4%
|
27 | 7 | 20 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
RNO
1 - 3
BRA
13%
18%
70%
|
26 | 13 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Argoncilhe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
ARG
2 - 0
RME
80%
13%
7%
|
18 | 11 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
ROM
0 - 4
ARG
10%
17%
74%
|
18 | 7 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
ARG
2 - 1
RNO
69%
17%
14%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
MAC
3 - 3
ARG
49%
22%
29%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
ARG
3 - 2
ALV
30%
23%
47%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | +1 |