RB Bragantino vs Botafogo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.5%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
21%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
RB Bragantino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2025 |
VIT
1 - 0
BRA
41%
27%
32%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2025 |
BRA
2 - 2
SAO
49%
26%
25%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2025 |
COR
1 - 2
BRA
47%
25%
27%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2025 |
BRA
0 - 3
BAH
46%
26%
28%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2025 |
VAS
0 - 2
BRA
46%
26%
29%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2025 |
SPO
0 - 1
BOT
53%
25%
22%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2025 |
BOT
0 - 0
VIT
51%
25%
24%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2025 |
VAS
0 - 2
BOT
50%
26%
24%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2025 |
PAL
1 - 0
BOT
45%
27%
29%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Jun. 2025 |
ATM
1 - 0
BOT
85%
11%
4%
|
88 | 99 | 11 | 0 |