Bracana vs Fuente Vaqueros 2014 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.4%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
26.3%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bracana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
CAS
1 - 1
BRA
71%
16%
13%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
BRA
3 - 3
PMO
16%
20%
64%
|
9 | 17 | 8 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
BEN
2 - 2
BRA
44%
23%
34%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
BRA
1 - 2
CFL
56%
21%
24%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
PAP
2 - 1
BRA
28%
22%
50%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Fuente Vaqueros 2014
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
FVA
6 - 1
OAT
46%
22%
32%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
ORG
5 - 2
FVA
70%
17%
14%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | -2 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
FVA
3 - 2
DGU
32%
23%
45%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | +2 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
FVA
0 - 2
CAS
15%
19%
66%
|
8 | 15 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
PMO
5 - 0
FVA
86%
9%
5%
|
9 | 17 | 8 | -1 |