FA Cup
Global 4-6
Bowers and Pitsea vs Waltham Abbey analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.9%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.2%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
4%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
19.9%
22.2%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bowers and Pitsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
WAL
2 - 2
BOW
26%
22%
52%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2016 |
BOW
2 - 0
BRE
59%
20%
22%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
VCD
0 - 2
BOW
44%
22%
35%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
BOW
0 - 1
ILF
79%
14%
7%
|
31 | 13 | 18 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
BOW
0 - 4
WHI
37%
23%
40%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | -2 |
Matches
Waltham Abbey
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
WAL
2 - 2
BOW
26%
22%
52%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2016 |
WAL
1 - 0
ROM
42%
24%
34%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
BUR
2 - 1
WAL
61%
20%
19%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
WAL
2 - 0
RED
73%
16%
11%
|
23 | 16 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
THU
2 - 1
WAL
79%
14%
7%
|
24 | 40 | 16 | -1 |