Bowers and Pitsea vs Merstham analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.2%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.2%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
23%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
29.9%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-48%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bowers and Pitsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2022 |
ENF
3 - 1
BOW
77%
14%
9%
|
31 | 43 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2022 |
BOW
0 - 1
CAR
22%
24%
54%
|
33 | 45 | 12 | -2 |
| 08 Jan. 2022 |
WIN
2 - 0
BOW
34%
24%
41%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 Jan. 2022 |
BOW
2 - 4
MAR
39%
24%
38%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | -2 |
| 01 Jan. 2022 |
HOR
1 - 0
BOW
64%
21%
15%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Merstham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2022 |
LEW
3 - 0
MER
65%
19%
16%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2022 |
MER
3 - 1
WIN
60%
20%
20%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Dec. 2021 |
FOL
6 - 1
MER
75%
16%
9%
|
33 | 47 | 14 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
MER
0 - 1
BRI
79%
13%
8%
|
34 | 20 | 14 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2021 |
CAR
3 - 1
MER
73%
17%
11%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | 0 |