FA Cup 1/512
Global 2-2
Bowers and Pitsea vs Canvey Island analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.6%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
20.9%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bowers and Pitsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
CAN
1 - 1
BOW
30%
25%
45%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2019 |
CRA
3 - 1
BOW
61%
21%
18%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2019 |
LEA
1 - 0
BOW
30%
24%
45%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2019 |
LEW
1 - 2
BOW
29%
25%
47%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2019 |
KIN
0 - 0
BOW
20%
22%
58%
|
41 | 27 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Canvey Island
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
CAN
1 - 1
BOW
30%
25%
45%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2019 |
CAN
3 - 2
STI
44%
25%
31%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2019 |
STI
0 - 0
CAN
38%
26%
37%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2019 |
MAL
5 - 0
CAN
78%
13%
9%
|
30 | 42 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2019 |
CTF
3 - 1
CAN
64%
19%
18%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | 0 |