Bowers and Pitsea vs AFC Sudbury analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.2%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.4%
12.4%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-52%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bowers and Pitsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 2019 |
HEY
1 - 0
BOW
48%
23%
29%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2018 |
BOW
4 - 1
GRE
81%
13%
7%
|
38 | 21 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2018 |
CAN
1 - 2
BOW
39%
25%
36%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2018 |
BOW
3 - 1
SOH
78%
14%
8%
|
37 | 23 | 14 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
DER
1 - 3
BOW
20%
23%
57%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
AFC Sudbury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 2019 |
YEL
0 - 2
AVE
45%
23%
32%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2019 |
BUR
2 - 3
YEL
47%
24%
29%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 2018 |
YEL
3 - 1
MIL
81%
12%
7%
|
29 | 20 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2018 |
YEL
8 - 2
DER
65%
19%
16%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
SOH
0 - 2
YEL
39%
24%
37%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | +1 |