Bourscheid vs Stengefort analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.7%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
3%
1-0
2%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
7.5%
14.3%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
14.3%
74%
Win probability
2.93
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
8.2%
2-4
3.4%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
-2
19.8%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
6%
2-5
2%
3-6
0.4%
4-7
0%
-3
15.6%
0-4
5.3%
1-5
3.5%
2-6
1%
3-7
0.2%
4-8
0%
-4
9.9%
0-5
3.1%
1-6
1.7%
2-7
0.4%
3-8
0.1%
-5
5.3%
0-6
1.5%
1-7
0.7%
2-8
0.1%
3-9
0%
-6
2.4%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.3%
2-9
0%
-7
0.9%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0.1%
2-10
0%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bourscheid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
LUP
2 - 0
BOU
78%
14%
8%
|
10 | 32 | 22 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2020 |
BOU
1 - 2
MUN
12%
15%
74%
|
10 | 26 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
BOU
1 - 16
FOL
3%
7%
90%
|
10 | 70 | 60 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
BOU
2 - 0
EGR
43%
21%
36%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
BOU
5 - 4
NOE
16%
17%
67%
|
7 | 14 | 7 | +2 |
Matches
Stengefort
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
FCS
3 - 8
MON
4%
9%
88%
|
22 | 60 | 38 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2022 |
FCS
2 - 1
UME
24%
20%
56%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 May. 2022 |
FCS
0 - 6
CBG
9%
14%
77%
|
22 | 45 | 23 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
URE
5 - 1
FCS
54%
20%
26%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
OBE
11 - 1
FCS
67%
16%
17%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | -2 |