Bourgoin-Jallieu vs Thonon Évian analysis

Bourgoin-Jallieu Thonon Évian
40 ELO 47
-6.5% Tilt -20.1%
4980º General ELO ranking 5900º
104º Country ELO ranking 138º
ELO win probability
26.8%
Bourgoin-Jallieu
24.8%
Draw
48.4%
Thonon Évian

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.8%
Win probability
Bourgoin-Jallieu
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.3%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.3%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
48.4%
Win probability
Thonon Évian
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
14.7%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Bourgoin-Jallieu
+7%
-16%
Thonon Évian

Points and table prediction

Bourgoin-Jallieu
Their league position
Thonon Évian
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
13º
13º
28
13º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Aubagne
52
52
100%
Le Puy
46
46
100%
Grasse
42
42
100%
Jura Sud
41
41
100%
Cannes
40
40
100%
Hyères
37
37
100%
Fréjus St-Raphaël
36
36
100%
Sporting Toulon Var
35
35
100%
Andrézieux
34
34
100%
Olympique Alès
10º
29
29
10º
100%
Thonon Évian
11º
28
28
11º
100%
Chamalières
12º
26
26
12º
100%
Bourgoin-Jallieu
13º
21
21
13º
100%
Toulouse II
14º
11
11
14º
100%
Expected probabilities
Bourgoin-Jallieu
Thonon Évian
Promotion
0% 0%
Mid-table
0% 0%
Relegation
100% 100%

ELO progression

Bourgoin-Jallieu
Thonon Évian
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Bourgoin-Jallieu
Bourgoin-Jallieu
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 Dec. 2023
AND
Andrézieux
1 - 0
Bourgoin-Jallieu
BOU
71%
19%
11%
38 49 11 0
25 Nov. 2023
HYE
Hyères
4 - 1
Bourgoin-Jallieu
BOU
63%
23%
14%
39 48 9 -1
18 Nov. 2023
CAN
Cannes
2 - 1
Bourgoin-Jallieu
BOU
73%
18%
9%
39 52 13 0
10 Nov. 2023
BOU
Bourgoin-Jallieu
2 - 3
Le Puy
LPV
17%
25%
58%
39 54 15 0
04 Nov. 2023
CAN
Cannes
0 - 1
Bourgoin-Jallieu
BOU
79%
15%
6%
38 52 14 +1

Matches

Thonon Évian
Thonon Évian
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Dec. 2023
THO
Thonon Évian
0 - 0
Grasse
GRA
40%
25%
34%
48 53 5 0
09 Dec. 2023
LYO
Lyon-Duchère
2 - 1
Thonon Évian
THO
45%
24%
32%
49 52 3 -1
25 Nov. 2023
THO
Thonon Évian
4 - 1
Toulouse II
TOU
65%
20%
15%
48 38 10 +1
18 Nov. 2023
THO
Thonon Évian
2 - 2
Aubagne
AUB
39%
24%
38%
48 49 1 0
11 Nov. 2023
CHA
Chamalières
2 - 1
Thonon Évian
THO
31%
26%
43%
49 44 5 -1