Bourgoin-Jallieu vs Jura Sud analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.5%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.2%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.5%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
55.9%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.2%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-27%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
8º
13º
13º
41
3º
11º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
52 | 52 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
46 | 46 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
42 | 42 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
41 | 41 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 29 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
28 | 28 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
26 | 26 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
21 | 21 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
11 | 11 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bourgoin-Jallieu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2024 |
BOU
1 - 0
THO
27%
25%
48%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2023 |
AND
1 - 0
BOU
71%
19%
11%
|
38 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
HYE
4 - 1
BOU
63%
23%
14%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
CAN
2 - 1
BOU
73%
18%
9%
|
39 | 52 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2023 |
BOU
2 - 3
LPV
17%
25%
58%
|
39 | 54 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Jura Sud
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
JUR
3 - 2
TOU
75%
16%
9%
|
50 | 36 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
CHA
0 - 0
JUR
29%
25%
46%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
JUR
2 - 0
FRE
47%
25%
28%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | +2 |
| 17 Nov. 2023 |
SOC
2 - 1
JUR
77%
16%
8%
|
48 | 66 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
OLY
1 - 1
JUR
37%
25%
38%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | -1 |