Bourgoin-Jallieu vs Hauts Lyonnais analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.8%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.5%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.6%
16.6%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+50%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
51
1º
2º
1º
40
6º
13º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
2º
|
51 | 54 |
1º
|
81.5% | |
|
1º
|
52 | 52 |
2º
|
81.5% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 47 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 41 |
5º
|
57% | |
|
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
6º
|
57% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
57% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 22 |
12º
|
92% | |
|
13º
|
20 | 20 |
13º
|
92% | |
|
14º
|
10 | 10 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
81.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
18.5% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bourgoin-Jallieu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
LIM
0 - 2
BOU
38%
25%
37%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
VAU
1 - 3
BOU
32%
25%
43%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
BOU
3 - 0
CHA
38%
25%
37%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | +2 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
RVA
0 - 1
BOU
69%
19%
12%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
BOU
3 - 0
DOM
69%
17%
14%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Hauts Lyonnais
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
HAL
0 - 1
CHA
42%
23%
36%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
HAL
1 - 0
LIM
43%
23%
35%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
AIX
1 - 0
HAL
40%
22%
38%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
HAL
2 - 1
SAE
33%
22%
45%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | +3 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
MON
1 - 1
HAL
21%
21%
59%
|
32 | 23 | 9 | -1 |