Bourgoin-Jallieu vs Domerat analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.7%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.5%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.7%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.4%
13.9%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
51
1º
2º
1º
27
9º
14º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
2º
|
51 | 54 |
1º
|
81.5% | |
|
1º
|
52 | 52 |
2º
|
81.5% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 47 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 41 |
5º
|
57% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
6º
|
57% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
57% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 22 |
12º
|
92% | |
|
13º
|
20 | 20 |
13º
|
92% | |
|
14º
|
10 | 10 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
81.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
18.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bourgoin-Jallieu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
CLE
1 - 1
BOU
31%
24%
44%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
BOU
1 - 1
AIN
34%
24%
42%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
CHA
1 - 1
BOU
56%
23%
21%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
FEU
0 - 0
BOU
21%
22%
57%
|
35 | 21 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
BOU
1 - 1
AIX
49%
22%
29%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Domerat
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
DOM
1 - 0
LIM
18%
20%
61%
|
24 | 38 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
AIX
0 - 1
DOM
76%
14%
10%
|
22 | 33 | 11 | +2 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
DOM
0 - 3
SAE
15%
18%
67%
|
23 | 38 | 15 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
MON
0 - 3
DOM
51%
22%
27%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
DOM
0 - 2
LDU
44%
23%
33%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | -1 |