Bourgoin-Jallieu vs Ain Sud analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.2%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
5%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.5%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
41.6%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
51
1º
2º
1º
37
2º
9º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
2º
|
51 | 54 |
1º
|
81.5% | |
|
1º
|
52 | 52 |
2º
|
81.5% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 47 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 41 |
5º
|
57% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
6º
|
57% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
57% | |
|
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 22 |
12º
|
92% | |
|
13º
|
20 | 20 |
13º
|
92% | |
|
14º
|
10 | 10 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
81.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
18.5% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bourgoin-Jallieu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
CHA
1 - 1
BOU
56%
23%
21%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
FEU
0 - 0
BOU
21%
22%
57%
|
35 | 21 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
BOU
1 - 1
AIX
49%
22%
29%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
SAE
0 - 1
BOU
54%
22%
23%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
BOU
5 - 0
MON
66%
20%
14%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Ain Sud
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
AIX
1 - 1
AIN
31%
22%
47%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
AIN
2 - 2
LIM
54%
23%
23%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
AIN
1 - 3
SAE
51%
23%
26%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
MON
1 - 4
AIN
16%
21%
63%
|
39 | 25 | 14 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
AIN
3 - 1
LDU
76%
15%
9%
|
39 | 26 | 13 | 0 |