Bourges 18 vs USSA Vertou analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.5%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
20.7%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bourges 18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
CHA
3 - 1
BOU
42%
24%
35%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
BOU
0 - 0
COG
57%
22%
21%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
BON
1 - 2
BOU
14%
21%
65%
|
41 | 15 | 26 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
BOU
1 - 1
CHO
48%
25%
27%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
BOU
3 - 1
ASC
71%
18%
11%
|
40 | 26 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
USSA Vertou
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
USS
0 - 0
POI
33%
26%
41%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
CHA
2 - 1
USS
52%
25%
23%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
USS
0 - 0
TOU
34%
25%
41%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
SAU
0 - 0
USS
70%
19%
11%
|
36 | 48 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2011 |
USS
0 - 0
NAN
31%
26%
43%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | 0 |