Bourges 18 vs Sud Nivernais analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.5%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
20%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20%
13.5%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bourges 18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
MON
2 - 1
BOU
64%
21%
16%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
BOU
3 - 1
MAC
77%
16%
8%
|
36 | 17 | 19 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
VIE
1 - 1
BOU
41%
25%
34%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
CHA
0 - 1
BOU
46%
25%
30%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
BOU
3 - 0
ECH
50%
24%
26%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Sud Nivernais
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
SUD
1 - 0
FEU
22%
25%
54%
|
23 | 35 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
CSL
1 - 1
SUD
71%
18%
11%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
SUD
2 - 3
SAI
45%
26%
30%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
SUD
1 - 0
AJA
30%
27%
44%
|
22 | 29 | 7 | +2 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
THI
2 - 1
SUD
64%
21%
15%
|
22 | 29 | 7 | 0 |