Bourges 18 vs Le Puy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.3%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.5%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
23%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
23.7%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bourges 18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
CSL
2 - 1
BOU
29%
25%
46%
|
40 | 27 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
BOU
4 - 1
FEU
76%
16%
7%
|
40 | 24 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
BOU
2 - 1
BOU
59%
21%
20%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
FCG
1 - 2
BOU
40%
26%
34%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
BOU
3 - 1
MOU
63%
20%
17%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Le Puy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
LPV
1 - 1
BOU
58%
22%
21%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
FCG
1 - 0
LPV
42%
24%
34%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
LPV
3 - 0
MOU
61%
21%
18%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
CHA
0 - 0
LPV
54%
22%
24%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
LPV
1 - 0
AND
41%
25%
35%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | +1 |