Bourges 18 vs Cognac analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.8%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.5%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
20.7%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bourges 18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
BON
1 - 2
BOU
14%
21%
65%
|
41 | 15 | 26 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
BOU
1 - 1
CHO
48%
25%
27%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
BOU
3 - 1
ASC
71%
18%
11%
|
40 | 26 | 14 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
VIE
1 - 2
BOU
31%
25%
44%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2011 |
POI
2 - 2
BOU
56%
23%
21%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Cognac
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
COG
0 - 0
POI
36%
25%
39%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
CHA
1 - 0
COG
50%
25%
25%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2011 |
COG
2 - 1
TOU
33%
24%
43%
|
34 | 43 | 9 | +2 |
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
SAU
4 - 0
COG
65%
21%
14%
|
35 | 47 | 12 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
COG
4 - 2
ANG
27%
25%
49%
|
31 | 42 | 11 | +4 |