Bourges 18 vs Cholet analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.8%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
27.2%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bourges 18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
BOU
3 - 1
ASC
71%
18%
11%
|
40 | 26 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
VIE
1 - 2
BOU
31%
25%
44%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2011 |
POI
2 - 2
BOU
56%
23%
21%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2011 |
BOU
0 - 0
CHA
53%
24%
24%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2011 |
BOU
0 - 2
SAU
35%
25%
39%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Cholet
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2011 |
CHO
2 - 1
POI
47%
25%
28%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
CHA
3 - 1
CHO
38%
25%
37%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
CHO
1 - 0
SAU
31%
25%
44%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | +2 |
| 29 Jan. 2011 |
NAN
1 - 1
CHO
56%
23%
21%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2011 |
CHO
2 - 2
ANG
42%
25%
33%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | 0 |