Bourges 18 vs Chatellerault analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.5%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
28.3%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bourges 18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
CHA
2 - 0
BOU
22%
22%
56%
|
42 | 29 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
BOU
1 - 1
STP
53%
25%
23%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
BRE
1 - 4
BOU
36%
27%
37%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
BOU
0 - 0
ANG
42%
26%
32%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
CHA
2 - 3
BOU
43%
25%
32%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Chatellerault
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
CHA
3 - 0
LRO
50%
22%
29%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
USS
1 - 0
CHA
51%
23%
26%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
CHA
1 - 0
LPS
17%
22%
62%
|
31 | 51 | 20 | +4 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
CHA
1 - 1
TOU
24%
23%
52%
|
30 | 44 | 14 | +1 |
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
CHA
0 - 0
STP
36%
24%
40%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | 0 |