Bourges 18 vs Châteauroux II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.7%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.2%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
23.7%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bourges 18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2011 |
BOU
0 - 2
SAU
35%
25%
39%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2010 |
TOU
0 - 0
BOU
60%
21%
19%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2010 |
NAN
2 - 2
BOU
51%
24%
25%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2010 |
BOU
2 - 1
ANG
40%
26%
35%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
USS
0 - 3
BOU
46%
25%
29%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Châteauroux II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2011 |
CHA
1 - 0
VIE
58%
22%
20%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2010 |
CHA
0 - 0
SAU
26%
25%
49%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
NAN
2 - 1
CHA
59%
23%
18%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2010 |
CHA
0 - 1
ANG
40%
26%
34%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2010 |
USS
3 - 0
CHA
42%
25%
33%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | -2 |