Bourges 18 vs Châteauroux II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.8%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
27%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bourges 18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2009 |
BOU
2 - 2
STP
38%
25%
37%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
ANG
6 - 0
BOU
45%
25%
31%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | -2 |
| 10 Oct. 2009 |
BOU
1 - 0
THO
64%
20%
16%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
POI
0 - 0
BOU
61%
22%
18%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
BOU
2 - 2
BLO
52%
25%
23%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Châteauroux II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2009 |
CHA
3 - 1
ANG
44%
26%
31%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
THO
2 - 0
CHA
33%
26%
41%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | -2 |
| 10 Oct. 2009 |
CHA
0 - 1
POI
36%
26%
37%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2009 |
BLO
1 - 0
CHA
41%
27%
32%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
CHA
2 - 2
SAU
46%
25%
29%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | 0 |