Boulder II vs Albuquerque Sol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.3%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
24.3%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Boulder II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jun. 2017 |
COR
1 - 3
BOU
55%
23%
22%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2017 |
BYU
3 - 1
BOU
50%
23%
26%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Jun. 2017 |
BYU
3 - 1
BOU
42%
25%
33%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Jun. 2017 |
COR
3 - 1
BOU
52%
23%
24%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Jun. 2017 |
BOU
2 - 1
ALB
62%
22%
16%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Albuquerque Sol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jul. 2017 |
TUC
2 - 1
ALB
76%
16%
8%
|
40 | 53 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2017 |
ALB
2 - 2
TUC
15%
21%
64%
|
40 | 53 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2017 |
TUC
3 - 1
ALB
76%
16%
8%
|
40 | 53 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2017 |
ALB
3 - 0
COR
31%
26%
43%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | +2 |
| 16 Jun. 2017 |
ALB
1 - 0
COR
26%
25%
49%
|
36 | 46 | 10 | +2 |