Boulder II vs Albuquerque Sol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.2%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
16.3%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Boulder II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 2017 |
BOU
0 - 0
BYU
58%
23%
19%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2017 |
BOU
2 - 1
COR
38%
25%
37%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Jun. 2017 |
TUC
5 - 1
BOU
71%
18%
11%
|
42 | 52 | 10 | -1 |
| 27 May. 2017 |
BOU
0 - 5
TUC
26%
24%
51%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | -2 |
| 14 May. 2017 |
BOU
0 - 0
COR
47%
24%
29%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | +2 |
Matches
Albuquerque Sol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 2017 |
COR
1 - 1
ALB
68%
19%
13%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2017 |
BYU
2 - 1
ALB
60%
20%
21%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2017 |
ALB
0 - 3
BYU
58%
21%
21%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | -2 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
ALB
2 - 4
TUC
20%
23%
58%
|
40 | 51 | 11 | -1 |
| 14 Jul. 2016 |
TUC
5 - 0
ALB
70%
19%
11%
|
40 | 50 | 10 | 0 |