CAF U20 Preliminary stages Quarter-finals
Global 1-1
Botswana U20 vs Namibia U20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.6%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.9%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.1%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
46.3%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
14%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botswana U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2016 |
BOT
0 - 1
RSA
12%
18%
70%
|
34 | 53 | 19 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
LSO
1 - 0
BOT
47%
22%
31%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2016 |
SWZ
2 - 0
BOT
41%
22%
37%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | -2 |
| 22 Apr. 2016 |
BOT
0 - 2
ZIM
43%
25%
33%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
ZIM
0 - 1
BOT
49%
24%
27%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Namibia U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 2016 |
RSA
2 - 0
NAM
70%
18%
12%
|
40 | 51 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2016 |
NAM
0 - 0
RSA
18%
22%
60%
|
39 | 51 | 12 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2016 |
NAM
2 - 0
SWZ
52%
24%
25%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
SWZ
2 - 2
NAM
36%
25%
40%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2013 |
NAM
1 - 0
ZAM
26%
24%
51%
|
36 | 48 | 12 | +2 |