CAF U20 Preliminary stages Semi-finals
Global 1-4
Botsuana U20 vs Congo U20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.1%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.8%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
43.6%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botsuana U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
NAM
1 - 1
BOT
59%
22%
19%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2018 |
BOT
0 - 0
NAM
29%
25%
46%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2016 |
BOT
0 - 1
RSA
12%
18%
70%
|
34 | 53 | 19 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
LSO
1 - 0
BOT
47%
22%
31%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2016 |
SWZ
2 - 0
BOT
41%
22%
37%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
Congo U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun. 2016 |
CGO
2 - 2
BFA
47%
24%
29%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2016 |
BFA
1 - 1
CGO
40%
25%
35%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
SEN
4 - 3
CGO
60%
22%
18%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2015 |
NGA
4 - 1
CGO
82%
13%
5%
|
40 | 61 | 21 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
CGO
1 - 1
CIV
14%
20%
66%
|
39 | 54 | 15 | +1 |