FC Gilport Lions vs Botswana Defence Force XI analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.6%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
26%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
34.4%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Gilport Lions
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
NOT
0 - 4
BOT
58%
22%
21%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2021 |
BOT
0 - 0
MAS
33%
25%
42%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
BOT
2 - 2
PRI
37%
22%
41%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
GAL
4 - 2
BOT
60%
23%
17%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2020 |
BOT
1 - 3
MOW
30%
23%
48%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Botswana Defence Force XI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
BOT
1 - 0
EXT
53%
25%
22%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2021 |
BOT
1 - 2
TOW
39%
25%
36%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2021 |
SES
2 - 2
BOT
47%
26%
28%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
PRI
0 - 2
BOT
51%
24%
25%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2020 |
BOT
0 - 1
BOT
78%
16%
6%
|
52 | 36 | 16 | -10 |