FC Gilport Lions vs Botswana Defence Force XI analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.3%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
26.3%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Gilport Lions
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
TOW
1 - 0
BOT
53%
25%
23%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
GRE
1 - 3
BOT
55%
23%
22%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2015 |
BOT
1 - 4
POL
48%
25%
27%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2015 |
CEN
0 - 0
BOT
56%
23%
21%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2015 |
BOT
0 - 1
MIS
46%
25%
29%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Botswana Defence Force XI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
BOT
0 - 0
SBB
42%
25%
33%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
MOT
0 - 2
BOT
48%
25%
27%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2015 |
BOT
1 - 1
BRH
45%
26%
29%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2015 |
GAL
0 - 3
BOT
55%
23%
22%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
BOT
2 - 1
NIC
42%
26%
32%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |