FC Gilport Lions vs Botswana Defence Force XI analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.4%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
28.2%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Gilport Lions
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
BOT
1 - 1
ORA
46%
25%
29%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
ECC
2 - 0
BOT
55%
23%
22%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
BOT
0 - 1
FCS
44%
25%
31%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2014 |
MIS
1 - 1
BOT
49%
26%
25%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2014 |
BOT
1 - 0
EXT
48%
25%
27%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Botswana Defence Force XI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
BOT
1 - 0
MOT
46%
25%
29%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2014 |
NOT
0 - 3
BOT
51%
24%
25%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
BOT
3 - 1
NIC
44%
25%
30%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2014 |
TOW
2 - 1
BOT
48%
26%
26%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2014 |
BOT
1 - 0
GAB
46%
25%
28%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |