FC Gilport Lions vs Botswana Defence Force XI analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.5%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
29.1%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Gilport Lions
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2012 |
BOT
1 - 0
TAF
49%
24%
27%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2012 |
POL
0 - 0
BOT
53%
24%
24%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
BOT
1 - 0
NOT
49%
24%
27%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2012 |
CEN
2 - 0
BOT
60%
21%
19%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
NIC
0 - 0
BOT
56%
22%
22%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Botswana Defence Force XI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2012 |
BOT
2 - 1
TOW
44%
25%
31%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2012 |
TAF
3 - 2
BOT
50%
24%
27%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
BOT
0 - 2
POL
48%
25%
27%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
NOT
1 - 2
BOT
50%
24%
27%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
BOT
0 - 1
NIC
45%
25%
30%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |