FC Gilport Lions vs Botswana Defence Force XI analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.6%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
25%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Gilport Lions
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
MIS
2 - 4
BOT
53%
23%
24%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
BOT
2 - 3
GAB
50%
24%
26%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
NOT
0 - 1
BOT
51%
24%
25%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2011 |
BOT
1 - 0
TFC
52%
23%
25%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2011 |
BOT
3 - 4
UFS
50%
24%
26%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Botswana Defence Force XI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2011 |
BOT
1 - 2
TOW
51%
23%
25%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
CEN
4 - 0
BOT
55%
23%
22%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2011 |
ECC
1 - 2
BOT
53%
23%
24%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2011 |
BOT
3 - 1
NOT
53%
24%
24%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2011 |
BOT
3 - 1
MIS
51%
24%
25%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |