Botswana Defence Force XI vs Township Rollers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.9%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.1%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
51.5%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.7%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.3%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-52%
+41%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botswana Defence Force XI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2019 |
SES
1 - 1
BOT
51%
26%
23%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2019 |
BOT
2 - 2
POL
44%
29%
27%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2019 |
ORA
2 - 0
BOT
52%
26%
22%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
MCS
1 - 0
BOT
31%
25%
43%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2019 |
BRH
0 - 1
BOT
37%
26%
38%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Township Rollers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2019 |
TOW
0 - 3
GAB
59%
23%
18%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2019 |
BRH
0 - 0
TOW
21%
24%
55%
|
61 | 48 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2019 |
TOW
3 - 2
GAL
43%
26%
32%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2019 |
TOW
3 - 0
MIS
74%
17%
9%
|
60 | 44 | 16 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 2019 |
POL
0 - 0
TOW
24%
24%
52%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | -1 |