Botswana Defence Force XI vs Sua Flamingoes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.9%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
7%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
34.1%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-39%
+51%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botswana Defence Force XI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
HGH
2 - 0
BOT
38%
24%
38%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2024 |
GAL
1 - 0
BOT
47%
27%
26%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2024 |
VTM
0 - 0
BOT
23%
23%
55%
|
41 | 23 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
BOT
1 - 1
ORA
45%
26%
29%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
GAB
0 - 0
BOT
51%
26%
24%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Sua Flamingoes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
SUA
0 - 0
EAN
50%
24%
26%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
HGH
0 - 2
SUA
36%
23%
41%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
SUA
1 - 0
POL
51%
24%
25%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
GAL
1 - 0
SUA
47%
25%
28%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
SUA
0 - 0
MOW
58%
20%
22%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | 0 |