Botswana Defence Force XI vs Prisons XI analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.4%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
16.2%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botswana Defence Force XI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2019 |
BOT
1 - 0
MIS
55%
24%
21%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2019 |
BOT
1 - 1
SES
44%
28%
28%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2019 |
TOW
3 - 0
BOT
63%
21%
15%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2019 |
BOT
1 - 1
GAB
35%
28%
38%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2019 |
EXT
1 - 3
BOT
31%
27%
42%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Prisons XI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2019 |
PRI
2 - 1
BRH
41%
25%
33%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2019 |
SSS
0 - 1
PRI
64%
20%
16%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2019 |
PRI
3 - 0
BLF
64%
19%
18%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2019 |
MIS
2 - 2
PRI
62%
21%
17%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2019 |
PRI
0 - 4
TOW
16%
23%
61%
|
41 | 60 | 19 | 0 |