Botswana Defence Force XI vs Police XI analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
27.2%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botswana Defence Force XI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
EAN
0 - 1
BOT
46%
26%
29%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2023 |
SUA
0 - 1
BOT
50%
24%
26%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
BOT
0 - 0
VTM
85%
11%
5%
|
42 | 9 | 33 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
BOT
5 - 1
MOG
78%
14%
8%
|
42 | 24 | 18 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2023 |
GAB
1 - 0
BOT
45%
27%
29%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Police XI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
POL
1 - 1
TAF
40%
27%
33%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2023 |
MFC
2 - 1
POL
10%
17%
73%
|
42 | 10 | 32 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
POL
1 - 1
SUA
42%
26%
32%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
POL
1 - 0
GAB
34%
27%
39%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | +1 |
| 31 May. 2023 |
EXT
1 - 0
POL
30%
24%
46%
|
42 | 32 | 10 | -1 |