Botswana Defence Force XI vs Police XI analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.4%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
14.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
25.6%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
10.6%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.3%
22.3%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-59%
-34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botswana Defence Force XI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
PRI
1 - 0
BOT
28%
26%
47%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2019 |
BOT
3 - 0
BLF
69%
19%
11%
|
54 | 41 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
GAB
2 - 0
BOT
34%
29%
37%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2018 |
BOT
1 - 4
TOW
30%
28%
42%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2018 |
CEN
0 - 1
BOT
34%
27%
39%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Police XI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2019 |
POL
3 - 2
GAB
42%
25%
33%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2019 |
CEN
1 - 0
POL
41%
26%
33%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2019 |
POL
2 - 1
BRH
63%
21%
16%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 2018 |
POL
1 - 0
EXT
58%
23%
19%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
POL
2 - 1
SSS
33%
26%
41%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |