Botswana Defence Force XI vs Morupule Wanderers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.8%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.4%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
32.5%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botswana Defence Force XI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2025 |
BOT
1 - 1
ORA
36%
25%
39%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
SES
1 - 2
BOT
52%
25%
23%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2025 |
SUA
4 - 2
BOT
64%
21%
16%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
BOT
1 - 0
UNI
53%
22%
25%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2025 |
CHA
0 - 0
BOT
26%
24%
50%
|
34 | 20 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Morupule Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2025 |
MOW
2 - 1
VTM
48%
22%
30%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
GAB
3 - 1
MOW
50%
25%
26%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2025 |
EXT
1 - 0
MOW
43%
25%
32%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
MOW
1 - 2
GAL
45%
23%
32%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2025 |
MFC
1 - 1
MOW
45%
24%
32%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |