Botswana Defence Force XI vs Gaborone United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.2%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
25.1%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-56%
+118%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botswana Defence Force XI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2010 |
NOT
1 - 1
BOT
50%
24%
27%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2010 |
MIS
2 - 4
BOT
48%
24%
27%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
BOT
2 - 2
ECC
51%
24%
26%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2010 |
BOT
1 - 2
CEN
52%
24%
25%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2010 |
TOW
3 - 2
BOT
54%
23%
23%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Gaborone United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2010 |
NIC
2 - 1
GAB
52%
23%
25%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2010 |
GAB
1 - 1
MIS
54%
24%
23%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2010 |
GAB
1 - 1
CEN
50%
24%
26%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2010 |
TOW
1 - 1
GAB
53%
23%
24%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2010 |
GAB
2 - 1
BOT
50%
25%
25%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |