Botswana Defence Force XI vs FC Satmos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.5%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
31.4%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botswana Defence Force XI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2013 |
BOT
2 - 0
BOT
50%
26%
25%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
BOT
1 - 0
ORA
46%
25%
29%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2013 |
UNI
0 - 2
BOT
50%
24%
26%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
BOT
2 - 0
CEN
42%
25%
34%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2013 |
GAB
1 - 0
BOT
51%
24%
25%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
FC Satmos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2013 |
GAB
1 - 1
FCS
48%
24%
28%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
TOW
2 - 1
FCS
46%
25%
30%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
FCS
1 - 3
NIC
52%
23%
26%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2013 |
FCS
3 - 1
NOT
56%
22%
22%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
MOT
3 - 2
FCS
47%
24%
29%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |