Botswana Defence Force XI vs FC Gilport Lions analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
28.5%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botswana Defence Force XI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
MIS
1 - 1
BOT
50%
25%
25%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
BOT
0 - 1
UFS
75%
17%
8%
|
54 | 35 | 19 | -12 |
| 28 Mar. 2018 |
ORA
2 - 2
BOT
50%
26%
25%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | +12 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
BOT
1 - 3
GAB
43%
26%
31%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
CEN
0 - 0
BOT
57%
22%
21%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
FC Gilport Lions
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2018 |
BOT
1 - 2
SSS
41%
25%
34%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
BOT
0 - 2
SES
45%
26%
29%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
CEN
3 - 2
BOT
77%
15%
8%
|
38 | 49 | 11 | +4 |
| 30 Mar. 2018 |
BLF
1 - 0
BOT
48%
26%
26%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | -3 |
| 09 Mar. 2018 |
ORA
4 - 0
BOT
49%
26%
26%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | -1 |